Monday, August 31, 2009

Bonds belong in your portfolio



The global bond market dwarfs the global stock market. The market for bonds is estimated at $67 trillion, with nearly half of those bonds originated in the United States. That compares to a global stock market valuation of just above $40 trillion, even after the market crash. The $33 trillion of outstanding U.S. debt includes U.S. government bonds, corporate bonds, municipal (state and local) bonds, mortgage-related bonds, and short term money market securities.

Most of these bonds trade daily, just not as visibly as the prices set in the stock market. So perhaps it's time to at least understand the global bond market and the opportunities it offers for portfolio diversification. That's what's behind Fidelity's recent push to inform investors about bonds, and make it easier -- and less expensive -- to create your own portfolio of individual bonds or choose an appropriate bond fund to balance your portfolio.

There are online educational seminars, tools that help you choose from more than 10,000 bonds -- and more than 100 fixed income specialists who will help you over the phone. Richard Carter, VP of fixed income securities at Fidelity Brokerage, says: "Our goal is to make sure that investors have a properly diversified portfolio. They need to know that there is an alternative beyond stocks and cash or money market funds. Bonds -- whether individual securities or an appropriate bond fund -- can fill that gap."

****

Oil near $71 as stocks sink, recovery questioned

VIENNA — Oil prices fell to near $71 a barrel Monday as China's stock market tumbled and commodities investors questioned whether the U.S. economy can recover strongly in the second half. Sinking Asian stock markets were led by a 6.7 percent fall in China's benchmark. Oil investors often look to stock markets as a barometer of sentiment about the economy. Benchmark crude for October delivery was down $1.51 cents to $71.23 a barrel noon European electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

The contract Friday added 25 cents to settle at $72.74 after tumbling from near $75 earlier in the week. Oil has traded near $70 a barrel for most of the last few months as investors struggle to gauge how robust the U.S. recovery will be. Crude has tried and failed several times, including last week, to break through the $75 level. "Oil looks a little tired," said Christoffer Moltke-Leth, head of sales for Saxo Capital Markets in Singapore. "We're seeing an economic recovery, but that's already been built into the price."

The U.S. economy will likely have to grow at least 2 percent in the third quarter to enthuse traders and push the oil price past $75, Moltke-Leth said. Noting that oil prices have moved in a tight range between $70 and $75 per barrel for most of August, Vienna's JBC Energy said support has come "from a weaker dollar relative to the Euro and growing evidence that the global economy is picking up. "On the other hand, fundamentals remain plagued by high stock levels," said JBC in its daily newsletter.

Investors will be eyeing the U.S. unemployment report on Friday as a key indicator of the economy's health. A high unemployment rate this year has undermined consumer confidence and hurt crude demand. Oil could drift lower to near $65 a barrel during the next month on investor concerns the current economic recovery isn't sustainable, Moltke-Leth said. "We could see another dip next year when the fiscal stimulus starts to fade," he said.

"The consumer is still being careful." In other Nymex trading, gasoline for September delivery was down by close to 2 cents at $2.05 a gallon and heating oil plunged by almost 4 cents to $1.82 a gallon. Natural gas was steady at $3.04 per 1,000 cubic feet. In London, Brent crude was down $1.46 at $71.46. Associated Press writer Alex Kennedy contributed to this report from Singapore.

****

US stock futures lower after sell-off in Asia

NEW YORK — Stocks moved toward a lower opening Monday following a big drop in Asian markets. U.S. stock futures fell after China's main index plunged 6.7 percent, adding to a nearly 3 percent drop on Friday. The selloffs in Chinese shares have been fueled by growing concerns over a tightening in bank lending and have weighed on markets around the globe this month.

Japan's Nikkei stock average fell 0.4 percent after the country's opposition party came to power in a landslide victory. European markets are also lower. Investors are heading in to the last day of August cautiously. There are no major economic reports scheduled for Monday, but key readings come later this week on manufacturing and employment in August that have the ability to either sustain or upset the market's massive six-month rally.

After rising more than 45 percent from 12-year lows in March, the Dow Jones industrial average stands less than 500 points away from 10,000. Investors have grown increasingly worried that the market may have gotten too far ahead of the economy and without evidence of actual economic growth, analysts have warned that the market's rally could fizzle in the coming weeks, especially as traders head into September, historically a rough month for the stock market.

Ahead of the market's open, Dow Jones industrial average futures fell 61, or 0.6 percent, to 9,475. Standard & Poor's 500 index futures fell 5.90, or 0.6 percent, to 1,021.50, while Nasdaq 100 index futures fell 11.50, or 0.7 percent, to 1,631. In corporate news, oilfield services company Baker Hughes Inc. said it will buy BJ Services Co. in a cash-and-stock deal valued at $5.5 billion. Oil prices lost $1.68 to $71.06 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Bond prices rose.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, fell to 3.42 percent from 3.45 percent late Friday. The dollar was higher against other major currencies, while gold prices fell. In late morning trading, Germany's DAX index and France's CAC-40 were down about 0.7 percent. The London Stock Exchange was closed for a public holiday.

****

Power Breakfast: Stocks peaking, Home Depot, lottery, Japan

After a hot summer, is the stock market rally over?
Unfortunately, that’s exactly what some are now predicting. Some of the analysts and investors who called a bottom in March, when the markets hit their worst levels in more than a decade, now say they are detecting a peak in share prices, the New York Times reported. And they warn that stocks could be headed for a sharp pullback.

What’s more, the Times writes, September is traditionally a poor month for stocks.
But the article does go on to point out that analysts can be wrong. Many of the country’s smartest investors got clobbered during the downturn last year, the Times writes. And betting against Wall Street’s momentum has not been a smart move lately.

So, what to do?
It’s not easy. But generally the best advice for long-term investors is to diversify, develop a thoughtful game plan and stick with it. Trying to time the market is a risky and often futile endeavor. Studies have repeatedly shown that most stock market gains during a year happen in a fairly concentrated period of time. I’m not good enough to predict those 10 or 20 days out of 365.

****

Sensex down 156 pts; Realty stocks post smart gains

The market, which opened sharply lower this morning on weak global cues, continues to languish deep down in the red as selling continues unabated in several blue chip stocks. Meanwhile, the GDP figures are in line with market expectations.

Also on equity
  • Most active Calls, Puts on the NSE

  • Stock commentaryLive

  • Stock tips for investors

  • Stockometer

  • Top gainers Worst losers

  • Tracking global markets

  • India's Gross Domestic Product grew 6.1% in the first quarter of this fiscal as compared to 7.8% during the same period last year. In the final quarter of the previous year, GDP rose 5.8%. While the industrial sector saw a growth of 5% as against 6% in the previous corresponding period, mining growth was at 7.9%, versus 4.6% in the same quarter last year.

The Sensex, which had plunged to 15,696.66 in early trade this morning, is down with a loss of 155.99 points 0.98% at 15,764.66. The Nifty has posted a loss of 47.10 points or 1% at 4685.25. Information technology stocks are among the major losers this morning. Mirroring their fall, the BSE IT index has lost over 2%. The Teck index is down by around 1.5%. Metal, capital goods, FMCG, pharma and bank stocks are also seen struggling to make a headway today.

Sterlite Industries, Tata Consultancy Services, Infosys Technologies, Larsen & Toubro, Hindalco, Wipro, HCL Technologies , Reliance Industries and Maruti Suzuki are down by 1.5% - 3%. GAIL India Tata Communications, SAIL, BHEL, ITC, Reliance Communications, Jindal Steel, Suzlon Energy, Reliance Infrastructure and Bharti Airtel have also declined sharply. Realty stocks have rallied sharply. With key stocks from this space recording impressive gains, the BSE Realty index has advanced by 2.17% now.

Select PSU, power and oil stocks have also posted notable gains. The market breadth is positive thanks to fairly strong buying at several counters in midcap and smallcap segments. Out of 2420 stocks seen in action on BSE, 1416 stocks are up in the positive territory. 933 stocks have declined and 71 stocks trade flat. Realty stock DLF is up by 2.15% at Rs 422.10.

Unitech, a Nifty component, has gained 4.85% at Rs 104. Ackruti City and Parsvnath Developers have also moved up by over 4%. Orbit Corporation, Ansal Infrastructure, Sobha Developers, Phoenix Mills, HDIL, Omaxe and Mahindra Lifespace have also gained significant ground in the positive territory this morning. Godrej Industries, IRB Infrastructure, Thermax, Jet Airways, Cairn India, MphasiS, Tech Mahindra, Jain Irrigation Systems, Alstom Projects, Sintex Industries, Aban Offshore, Aditya Birla Nuvo, Balrampur Chini and Mangalore Refineries & Petrochemicals are among the other stocks that have gained in strength today.

****

Stocks open lower; Metals, IT fall

MUMBAI: Equities opened lower on Monday following the weakness across Asian peers. Metals and technology stocksled declines. ( Watch ) Bombay Stock Exchange’s Sensex was trading at 15738, down 184 points or 1.15 per cent while National Stock Exchange’s Nifty shed 66 points to 4665. “We expect our market to open down but see a recovery from lower levels. We are positive for the day.

Markets are expected to trade between 4693-4629 on the lower side while resistance lies between 4793-4810,” said Religare Research. Asian stocks tumbled, led by mining companies, after Chinese companies reported lower profit. The Nikkei fell 0.35 per cent, Topix lost 0.33 per cent, Hang Seng tumbled 2.19 per cent and Straits Times shed 1.26 per cent. But the worst hit was the Chinese markets.

China's main stock index fell more than 5 percent on Monday to a three-month low, breaking below the key 125-day moving average used by Chinese investors to delineate a bull versus a bear market, as a series of negative factors has relentlessly weighed down the market since early August. US stocks mostly slipped on Friday after a weak consumer sentiment report offset positive news from bell ethers Dell Inc and Intel Corp.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 36.43 points, or 0.38 per cent, to end at 9,544.20. The Standard &Poor's 500 Index lost 2.05 points, or 0.20 per cent, to 1,028.93. But the Nasdaq Composite Index inched up 1.04 points, or 0.05 percent, to close at 2,028.77.

****

Allied Digital board okays fund raising plans; stock up 1.35%

MUMBAI: Shares of Allied Digital Services picked up momentum after the company’s board approved raising up to $50 million from institutional investors. The company will issue 100,000 shares to Bennett Coleman & Co Ltd and split each of the company's shares into two, it said in a statement to the stock exchange. At 10:30 am, the stock rose 1.34 per cent to Rs 507.45 on the BSE.

****

Retailers reduce stocks to escape hoarding charges

NEW DELHI: Retail chains have sharply reduced their stocks of grains, sugar, cereals and vegetable oils to avoid getting slapped with charges of hoarding by state governments that have imposed stock limits to rein in soaring food prices. Stock curbs are forcing retailers to adopt just-in-time inventory management, which is driving up the cost of procurement and handling.

With margins already under pressure, retailers say they may eventually have to raise prices. Rising food prices and poor rains have driven many state governments, including Maharashtra, West Bengal, Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan, to impose stock limits. And retailers are playing safe. “We are naturally cutting down stocks.

We don’t want to be caught on the wrong side of the law,” said Aditya Birla Retail CEO Thomas Varghese, adding that this was pushing up transaction cost and may eventually impact consumers as retailers will be forced to pass on the higher cost to consumers. Birla Retail runs supermarket chain More.

A senior executive with a large retail chain with a significant presence in the food market said his company often runs out of stock due to its policy of sticking to stock limits. Stock limits put a ceiling on the quantity that an individual wholesaler or retailer can hold in his godown. The move is designed to stop speculative stockpiling of essential commodities when supplies are short.

But stock limits raise the number of transactions and costs of legitimate players, such as retailers, which need a continuous supply to meet daily customer demand. “This (imposition of stock limit) is a new challenge and we are trying to cope with it,” says Kishore Biyani, chief executive of Future Group, the country’s largest retailer that runs supermarket chains Big Bazaar, Central, Home Town and e-zone.

Referring to the Essential Commodities Act, which empowers government to impose such limits, Mr Biyani said there was a need to take a relook at laws that were enacted in the 1950s when there was no modern retail in India. For most retailers, the total time between procurement of a staple and its sale is 21 days. The company usually buys enough to meet demand for at least a month in each transaction to benefit from discounts on bulk purchases.

Now that they are forced to buy smaller quantities, retailers have to forego this discount. Moreover, with prices rising continuously and few suppliers willing to sign fixed price contracts, frequent purchases in small quantities is raising the average cost of procurement. Meanwhile, companies supplying staples to these retailers are equally worried.

With lower offtake by their customers, suppliers are forced to carry the stocks on their own books for longer which raises costs. It also adds to market uncertainty because orders are now more ad-hoc and smaller. “It is hard for us to hold supplies on behalf of retailers,” said the marketing head of a large multinational trading company based in Gurgaon.

****

Yen Strengthens, Japanese Stocks Drop After DPJ Wins Election

Aug. 31 (Bloomberg) -- The yen strengthened after the Democratic Party of Japan won yesterday’s national election by a landslide, marking an end to single-party government that lasted almost unbroken for half a century. Japanese stocks fell. The yen appreciated to 132.26 per euro in Tokyo from 133.85 in New York on Aug. 28, and strengthened to 92.77 per dollar from 93.60.

The Nikkei 225 Stock Average fell 0.4 percent to 10,492.53 at the 3 p.m. close on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, reversing an earlier gain of 2.2 percent. Bonds rose. “Some are saying the market has fully reflected the change of government, but the change is too big to be priced in,” said Hisakazu Amano, who helps oversee the equivalent of $18 billion at T&D Asset Management Co. “The impact of the DPJ victory on company earnings is still uncertain and investors can’t decide what to buy or sell.”

The DPJ routed the Liberal Democratic Party in yesterday’s vote, capturing 308 of 480 lower-house seats. The DPJ has pledged to revive an economy emerging from its deepest recession since World War II by boosting child-care spending, cutting taxes and limiting the power of bureaucrats. The yen strengthened against all 16 major counterparts, gaining for a fifth day against the euro and rising to its strongest level versus the dollar since July 13. A tumble in Chinese stocks also fueled demand for the relative safety of Japan’s currency.

‘Risk Averse’

The Shanghai Composite Index slumped 5.4 percent, set for the lowest close since May 27. China is Japan’s biggest export market. “The slide in China’s equity markets led to buying of the yen,” said Toshihiko Sakai, head of trading for foreign exchange and financial products at Mitsubishi UFJ Trust & Banking Corp. in Tokyo. “Investors are still risk averse.” Honda Motor Co., which gets more than half its sales in North America, slid 1.8 percent.

Canon Inc., the world’s biggest maker of digital cameras and which gets a third of its sales from the Americas, dived 3.3 percent. Toyota Motor Co., the world’s largest automaker, slumped 1.2 percent. Manufacturers of cars and electronics contributed the most to declines in Japan’s broader Topix index, which slipped 0.4 percent to 965.73. The Nikkei added 1.3 percent in August for a sixth monthly increase, the longest stretch of gains since the nine months ended January 2006.

NTT, Retail Stocks Nippon Telegraph & Telephone Corp., Japan’s biggest phone company and 34 percent owned by the government, jumped 3.2 percent, the most since Aug. 4. The DPJ is supported by NTT’s labor union and is less likely than the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan to review the company’s status and organization, Hironobu Sawake, an analyst at JPMorgan Chase & Co., said in a report this month.

J Front Retailing Co., Japan’s No. 2 department-store operator, climbed 2.7 percent. Round One Corp., which operates bowling alleys, surged 5.2 percent after the higher sales outlook prompted Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc. to give its highest rating to the stock. “If the DPJ’s proposed measures to bolster household income lift consumer spending, it will make an economic recovery more certain,” said Ryuta Otsuka, a strategist at Toyo Securities Co. in Tokyo.

Japan’s retail sales fell less than economists had estimated last month, a report from the Trade Ministry showed this morning. Monthly wages dropped for a 14th month in July, the Labor Ministry said today.

Boost Household Spending

The DPJ, which has pledged to boost the minimum wage, plans to eliminate unnecessary government spending and abolish some tax deductions to finance its economic aid package. DPJ leader Yukio Hatoyama said on Aug. 23 that he won’t let new bond sales for the next fiscal year exceed this year’s record. Japanese government bonds rose, with the yield on the 1.5 percent bond due June 2019 falling half a basis point to 1.305 percent as of 3:15 p.m. in Tokyo.

The Markit iTraxx Japan index of credit-default swaps, which act as insurance against company defaults and are a measure of the perceived risk of such an event, was little changed today, BNP Paribas SA prices showed. Nikkei futures expiring in September declined 0.8 percent to 10,450 in Osaka and fell 0.8 percent to 10,440 in Singapore.

****

Sensex regains some lost ground after sharp setback @ 10:21 hrs

The market got off to a highly negative start this morning due to weak Asian cues. Though Wall Street ended on a mixed note on Friday, Asian markets are mostly seen trading deep down in the red today with the extremely negative trend in China contributing to the slide.
Also on equity
  • Stock commentaryLive
  • Stock tips for investors
  • Stockometer
  • Top gainers Worst losers
  • Most active Calls, Puts on the NSE
  • Tracking global markets

As stocks cutting across sectors tumbled in opening trade, the Sensex swiftly plunged to 15,696.62, recording a loss of over 225 points in the process. Though the barometer is off that mark now thanks to selective buying at some front line counters, at 15,781.88, it is still down in the red with a sharp loss of 140.46 points or 0.88%.

The Nifty index of the National Stock Exchange, which had drifted down to 4662, is down with a loss of 41.35 points or 0.87% at 4691 at present. Information technology, metal, realty and capital goods stocks are among the prominent losers. FMCG, bank, auto and power stocks are also trading lower. Select pharma, oil and PSU stocks have bucked the trend and posted notable gains. Sterlite Industries, the most prominent loser in the Sensex now, is down by around 2.3%.

Tata Consultancy Services and Larsen & Toubro have also lost more than 2%. Wipro, Infosys Technologies, Hindalco, Jaiprakash Associates, ITC, Reliance Infrastructure, Tata Motors, Tata Steel, Maruti Suzuki, ICICI Bank, BHEL, Hindustan Unilever and Reliance Communications are down by 1%- 2%. State Bank of India, HDFC and index heavyweight Reliance Industries are also trading weak. HCL Technologies, GAIL India, SAIL, Tata Communications, Axis Bank and Nalco are among the major losers in the Nifty index.

ONGC, Grasim Industries, Hero Honda and NTPC have posted sharp to moderate gains. ACC is up marginally over its previous closing price. Nifty stock Cairn India has moved up by over 4.25% to Rs 271.20. Siemens is up by 2.1%. BPCL has gained 1.2% at Rs 499.25.

****

Sunday, August 30, 2009

UPA-II effect: FIIs infuse Rs 23,000 cr in stock market in 100 days


NEW DELHI: Call it the effect of the Congress-led UPA government or a hope of a revival for the Indian stock markets, the country has witnessed 100 days of UPA an inflow of nearly Rs 23,700 crore from overseas investors since the new term of Prime Minister Manmohan Singh. An analysis of the foreign institutional investors (FIIs) activity shows that since May 22, the day Prime Minister took oath for a second term to lead the United Progressive Alliance government, FIIs have made a net investment of Rs 23,688.8 crore in the domestic stock markets.

On August 29, the UPA government completed its 100 days in office with a mixed bag of good work on certain fronts while stumbling on several issues. The inflow during the period (May 22-August 29) accounts for over 65 per cent of the total FII inflow into the Indian stock markets. According to the data available with market regulator Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI), so far in 2009 FIIs have made a net investment of Rs 39,179.60 crore. During the period under review, July witnessed an inflow of Rs 11,066 crore, the highest in a month. In June the inflow was Rs 3,830 crore, while in August it is Rs 3,810 crore.

Also Read
→ What's pushing the markets up?
→ Some significant sectors for equity investors
→ September sonnet for stocks: A sliding Sensex?
→ Indian ADRs gain over $2.60 bn, Infosys contributes most "FIIs have confidence in the India growth story and have invested at a cheaper level. Now that markets have moved up more participation would be seen as the foreign funds would like to be left out for participating in the rally," SMC Global Vice President Rajesh Jain said.

During the same period, Bombay Stock Exchange's benchmark index Sensex gained 15 per cent to 15,922.34 level. On May 22, Sensex had ended at 13,887.15. The government's 100-day programme reflected the Prime Minister's words who made it clear to his Cabinet colleagues that 'business as usual will not do'.

The Union Budget 2009-10, presented by Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee sought to double the outlays for rural development at a time of sluggish growth, which is expected to be 6 per cent this year. The government has also come out with a new Direct Taxes Code, which promises to simplify direct tax laws and promises to put more money in the pocket of the tax payer. It also came out with a Trade Policy with an ambitious target of USD 200 billion exports for 2010-11.

****

IT stocks slide in range-bound market

The key benchmark indices were flat in a range bound afternoon trade on Friday. The benchmark Sensex fell 57 points to 15,724 levels and the Nifty dropped 18 points to 4,669. While realty and capital goods counters gained, IT and pharma stocks were under pressure.

The realty index on the BSE rose 1.8 per cent and the capital goods index was up 0.2 per cent. The BSE IT index shed nearly 2 per cent and the BSE healthcare index dropped 0.6 per cent.Among the Sensex stocks, DLF led the gainers. The stock advanced 3.7 per cent.

Bharti Airtel, ACC and Hindalco were the other main gainers in the pack, up more than 1.4 per cent each. Tata Power, Infosys and ITC lost over 2 per cent each.Asian markets were trading mixed today. South Korea’s Kospi and Japan’s Nikkei rose over 0.5 per cent each. China’s Shanghai Composite slipped 2.9 per cent.
(With AP inputs)

****

MP plans to impose stock limit on pulses soon

After sugar, the Madhya Pradesh (MP) Government is now planning to impose limit on stocks of pulses that a trader can build, to curb hoarding and check rise in prices, which have surged by up to 50 per cent in just four months. “We are in the final stage of working out a formula to impose the stock limit on pulses.

There are some issues about imposing the limit on the basis of population, which will be sorted out soon,” the state's Food Minister (independent charge), Mr Parasch andra Jain said. However, pulse millers say such a proposal has already hit their business volume, and appealed to the state government that they be allowed at least three months to sell their current stocks before the limit is slapped.

“After the news spread that there would be a stock limit on pulses, our business slumped by as much as 75 per cent,” Madhya Pradesh Dal Mills Association President, Mr Suresh Agrawal said. Earlier this month, the Prime Minister Mr Manmohan Singh had directed states to take stringent measures against hoarding and black marketing. Rajasthan then imposed stock limits on all types of pulses under the Essential Commodities Act. Authorities in Madhya Pradesh had also seized sugar valued at Rs 2.5 crore in Indore and Gwalior just after that. - PTI

****

Friday, August 28, 2009

Across the board buying saw Indian markets end tepid session on a positive note. The upmove was led by gains in realty, capital goods and auto space. Bombay Stock Exchange’s Sensex was at 15889.73, up 108.66 points or 0.69 per cent. The index touched an intra-day high of 15957.67 and low of 15663.35. National Stock Exchange’s Nifty was at 4723.85, up 35.65 points or 0.76 per cent. The index hit 52-week high of 4743.75 and low of 4651.40.

BSE Midcap Index was up 0.61 per cent and BSE Smallcap Index moved 0.66 per cent up. Amongst the sectoral indices, BSE Realty Index was up 3.55 per cent, BSE Capital Goods Index gained 1.06 per cent and BSE Auto Index gained 0.97 per cent. BSE FMCG Index was down 0.72 per cent. DLF (5.42%), Jaiprakash Associates (5.40%), Bharti Airtel (4.08%), Hindalco (2.69%) and Reliance Infra (2.43%) were amongst the Sensex gainers.

Tata Power (-1.64%), ITC (-1.50%), Sun Pharmaceuticals (-1.20%), Wipro (-1.13%) and NTPC (-1.02%) were amongst the top losers. Market breadth was positive on the BSE with 1507 advances and 1276 declines.

(All figures are provisional)

****

Thursday, August 27, 2009

Control sugar prices, Sonia tells Pawar


A few years back, a dramatic rise in the price of onions nearly brought down the government. Now, as sugar prices spiral out of control, Congress president Sonia Gandhi has stepped in. Sonia has written a letter to Union Minister for Agriculture Sharad Pawar, asking him to take immediate measures to control prices.

Sugar prices have risen steeply in recent months, and its impact has been felt on every household budget in the country. The government has been under attack for its policy, which many say is flawed. But it insists the price of sugar is rising because of low production, something which is tough for them to regulate. This comes a day after CWC member Satyravat Chaturvedi attacked Pawar for his handling of the drought situation and the shortage of sugar.

Meanwhile, the Congress party has asked its senior leaders not to air their personal views in public. The party also stands by its resolution passed at the CWC, which asked the government to take all possible steps to ensure the common man is not affected by the rising prices.

****

Why sugar is unaffordable this year?

India, the world's second largest producer of sugar, has been hit by a shortage. And with the crisis, have come the allegations of a scam. At the crux of it is the governemnt's sugar policy, which allowed mill owners to export till last year, but not enough was done to help farmers deal with a bumper crop. Brinda Karat, member of the CPM Politburo, says: ''The government allowed exports till December. Then in a bizarre turn of events, it allowed import of raw sugar in January.''

There are leads to the present crisis to be found in old files, documents that are now with NDTV. They show that: In 2007-2008 India recorded a bumper harvest The Centre's Minimum Support Price was at Rs 81. This is the minimum price at which famers sold each quintal of sugarcane. The only exception was Uttar Pradesh.

The biggest sugar producing state was going to polls and the BSP government fixed the support price at Rs 140. Farmers had no means of holding on to the bumper crop and were pushed into distress sales or worse - burning their crops. JP Patil, a farmer from Nanded says: ''When we had a bumper crop last year, we were forced to burn it down.''

That year India produced 27 million tonnes of sugar. The domestic market needs just 22 tonnes. The glut pushed prices down by about 30%. A Prices were down from Rs. 18 to Rs 13. As an excess of 5 million tonnes piled up, the government allowed sugar mills to export in the international market, where prices were rising. The prices were rising because the biggest producer, Brazil, had cut down exports.

Thus, where the farmers lost money, sugar mill owners made a killing. Disillusioned, many farmers turned to other crops this year, resulting in a shortage of sugarcane. Professor Sudhir Banwar of Lucknow University says: ''The decision to export helped only the mill owners. This created a lot disincentive as a result of which the sugarcane farmers switched to other crops this year.''

As farmers moved away, sugarcane this year has seen a 30% drop in cultivation.A vicious circle that has left the country less sweet. Now that the government has swallowed a bitter pill, it is taking a hard look at its sugar policy. Also with big producers like Maharashtra going to polls, the government can ill-afford to ignore the farmers' concerns.

****

In times of drought, Rs 350 cr for a statue



Two-thirds of Maharashtra is in the grip of a terrible drought, farmers are committing suicide, but that is not stopping the Maharashtra government from erecting a mammoth statue of Shivaji - the maratha warrior king - in the sea off Marine Drive. The statue will cost 350 crores of rupees, enough to save lakhs of farmers in this drought year. It's an election promise of 2004 that the government is now in tearing a hurry to fulfill.

This high tech avatar will be taller than the statue of Liberty and will have a museum, revolving restaurant and helipads. "The statue of Shivaji will be a great landmark for the city. It will be in the Arabian sea halfway between Chowpatty and Marine Drive. The platform will span 8 acres. And it will be taller than the Statue of Liberty. People can travel to it from nearby jetties," said Ashok Chavan, Chief Minister.

Over the last few weeks, the Maharashtra government has allotted a few hundred crores for scarcity relief, but it plans to ask the Centre for a few thousand crores. So, should it be spending more than 300 crores on a statue even if it's over the next few years? The Shiv Sena sees the Congress-NCP trying to usurp the icon it had appropriated. But given the subject of debate its criticism is muted.

"We are not against a statue to Shivaji Maharaj. We are only against the politicisation and just using the name of Shivaji Maharaj," said Sanjay Raut, Shiv Sena leader. The government's much hyped decision may still hit a road block, as it's still to get environmental clearance. So, this could be yet another election stunt but will it get it the votes?

****

US regulator eases rules for private buys of failed banks

Squeezed by rising bank failures, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp made it easier on Wednesday for private investors to buy failed institutions.FDIC’s board voted 4-1 to reduce the cash that private equity funds must maintain in banks they acquire.Private equity funds tend to buy distressed companies, slash costs and then resell them a few years later. They have been criticized for excessive risk-taking.

But the depth of the banking crisis has softened the FDIC's resistance to them.The agency's deposit insurance fund, which insures customers' deposits, has shrunk under the weight of collapsing banks. Analysts warn it could fall below zero by year's end. At least in theory, having private investors buy failing banks would allow the FDIC to reduce the losses it would have to cover at a failed bank.

Under the new rules, a buyer would need to maintain the bank's capital reserves equal to 10 percent of the failed bank's assets, down from 15 percent under an earlier proposal. That compares with a 5 percent minimum requirement for banks that buy other banks. And the new policy limits the circumstances under which private investors must maintain assets that could be provided if needed to bolster banks they own.

But the FDIC sought to guard against private equity funds that might want to quickly buy and sell at a profit: It required the acquiring investors to maintain a bank's minimum capital levels for three years.Eighty-one banks have failed so far this year, compared with 25 last year and three in 2007. The closings have drained billions from the FDIC deposit insurance fund, which insures regular bank accounts up to $250,000 and is financed with fees paid by U.S. banks."

The FDIC recognizes the need for new capital in the banking system," the agency's chairman, Sheila Bair, said before the vote.The compromise struck among the FDIC directors "is a good and balanced one," Bair said.Banks need to be operated "profitably but prudently," she said.John Bowman, acting director of the federal Office of Thrift Supervision, was the lone holdout Wednesday.

He said the new policy was still too strict and "could chase potential investors away."Douglas Lowenstein, president of the Private Equity Council, the industry's advocacy group, said the new policy is an improvement over the proposal floated by the FDIC last month."But we continue to question the need to impose more onerous capital requirements on private equity firms," he said in a statement.

"At a time when the nation's banks are struggling to raise capital, it is counterproductive to impose measures that could deter investors who are ready, willing and able to provide that capital. Higher capital thresholds could make it less likely that private equity investors will bid on failed banks."Rising loan defaults, fed by falling home prices and worsening unemployment, have hammered banks.

The closings have drained billions from the FDIC deposit insurance fund, which insures regular bank accounts up to $250,000 and is financed with fees paid by U.S. banks.The FDIC estimates bank failures will cost the fund around $70 billion through 2013. The fund stood at $13 billion — its lowest level since 1993 — at the end of March. It's slipped to 0.27 percent of insured deposits, below a congressionally mandated minimum of 1.15 percent.

The FDIC seizes failed banks and seeks buyers for their branches, deposits and soured loans. Under the crush of failures, the agency says private equity can inject vitally needed capital into the system, especially with fewer healthy banks looking to acquire failed institutions."There's an enormous need for private money to do this," said Josh Lerner, a professor of finance at Harvard Business School.

"There's the sense that you have a lot of money which is currently sitting on the sidelines."Private equity firms invest their own capital to buy a company and pump it up with money from other investors. Such "leveraging" to buy companies amounts to, on average, three-to-one for private equity firms: They invest $3 in outside capital for each $1 they put up themselves.The roughly 2,000 private equity firms in the U.S. have around $450 billion in capital to invest, according to the Private Equity Council. Investors in private equity funds include pension funds, university endowments and charitable foundations.

****

TCS, Infy, Wipro bag chunk of BP deal

TCS, Infosys and Wipro have bagged a sizable chunk of a five-year outsourcing deal from British oil giant BP. Spokespersons of all three companies did not disclose the size. They did not reveal their independent size of the contract either. The multi-crore rupee contract is a big boost for the domestic outsourcing majors, currently under pricing and margin pressure in the wake of global downturn.

Global IT majors IBM and Accenture have also snapped a part of the deal. The three companies announced separately that they have entered into an outsourcing deal with BP. Infosys said it will operate BP's business systems. Wipro said it will provide IT Application Development and Application Maintenance (ADAM) services for BP's Fuels Value Chain and corporate business globally.

TCS said it has been selected for engagements in refining, manufacturing and corporate IT with opportunities across fuels value chain including upstream and trading.As part of the deal, IBM will manage and run the oil giant's enterprise applications and integrated service desk responsibilities, IBM said.

****

Gas dispute: Government's plea claims supremacy



The Centre will file a fresh application in the Supreme Court on the gas dispute between Mukesh Ambani's RIL and Anil Ambani's RNRL. The plea is ready and waiting for approval of Union Law Minister Veerappa Moily. The application to be filed by Petroleum Ministry says that the government has an authority in private agreement in regulation of gas supply; also the government has control over fixing gas price, its quantity and period of supply.

In the earlier petition, the government wanted the MoU between RIL and RNRL be declared null and void. On the question of intervention by NTPC, the Centre in its application says it will wait for the final decision of the Bombay High Court on NTPC's petition against RIL for enforcement of contract.

****

Wednesday, August 26, 2009

Soaring prices: Sugar gets bitter in Kerala


Women are used to making tea or coffee with less sugar, but are now forced to even make a household budget that has less sugar. Here's a report from Kerala where the price of sugar has touched almost Rs 40, which is more than a 100 per cent increase. Ironically it comes just ahead of the biggest festival of the state, Onam.

Anandalakshmi, who is 78-year-old, cannot believe her ears as her granddaughters check accounts after shopping for provisions. Oil, pulses, rice, chilly, and the biggest shock from sugar, bought for Rs 38 a kg, exactly double its price in July. Therefore, only one kg is purchased. "When my whole family gets together for an occasion, can I manage without sugar? It is unbelievably priced," said Anandlakshmi.

Kerala imports sugar from Tamil Nadu. This year the produce is over 60 per cent less than normal. Wholesalers say they will be forced to further increase the price. "The price has to go up, because there is crop failure," said Vijaykumar, a wholesaler. Women are taking the pain to stand for hours in queue. There are five government-sponsored stalls in the state where sugar and jaggery is sold at a subsidised rate.

The government admits that it cannot afford the subsidy on all commodities for too long. The exchequer is already burdened by Rs 228 crore since last year. The shortage is set to further increase the price of sugar, even up to Rs 42 a kg by the weekend. Quite apparent that one who tastes 'payasam' made in Kerala for Onam, would think it could have been sweeter.

****

Trade policy targets $200 billion in export revenues

Announcing the foreign trade policy on Thursday, Commerce Minister Anand Sharma said it aims for an export target of $200 billion by March 2011. The policy aims an annual growth of 15 per cent in exports in 2010-11. India's exports had reached $168 billion during FY09.

The policy measures are targeted for a two-year period. He said that the policy measures would give a special thrust to employment-oriented export units. To promote exports, he said six 'Made in India' shows to be organised each year. The minister said the country is committed to successful conclusion of Doha round of WTO talks and sought diversification of export markets to emerging markets. The exports suffered due to demand contraction in export markets, he said. Moreover, protectionist measures are causing barriers to free trade, he added.

The trade minster said the interest subvention and the Duty Entitlement Pass Book schemes would be continued. The DEPB scheme would continue till December 2010. The policy has also earmarked additional resources under market access schemes. In other measures, the E-trade project would be implemented and a Directorate of Trade Remedial Measures would be also set up. The status holders have also been permitted to import capital goods at zero duties.

And the zero per cent Export Promotion Capital Goods scheme for specified sector has been extended up to 31 March 2011.He also said that India's total share of global goods and services exports stood at 1.53 per cent and India’s share of global merchandise was at 1.28 per cent. He also said that the government has notified 325 special economic zones.

****

How Foreign Trade Policy will help boost exports



The Union Commerce Ministry announces the integrated Foreign Trade Policy (FTP) every five years. The policy aims at developing export potential, improving export performance, boosting foreign trade and earning valuable foreign exchange. Also known as Exim (Export-Import) Policy, it is updated every year and several modifications and new schemes come into effect from April 1 of every year.

India needs to focus on exports to become a major player in world trade. The FTP takes into account measures to generate more exports and facilitate imports, which are vital for the economic development. India's FTP seeks to enhance its global trade, offer incentives to exporters, expand markets to diversify trade, and create more returns and employment. FTP assumes great significance this year as India's exports have been battered by the global recession. A fall in exports has led to the closure of several small- and medium-scale export-oriented units, resulting in large-scale unemployment.

Here's a quick look at what the crisis-hit exporters want from the new FTP, what the government might do and how this could help give a fillip to India's exports...Image: A technician fits a steering wheel on a 12-horsepower mini-tractor inside a manufacturing unit of P.M. Diesels in Rajkot.

****

How To Go For College Student Loan Consolidation

Countless college graduates can gain from college student loan consolidation since it helps them reduce their monthly payments. If somebody doesn’t have the capacity to pay and has missed payments, it can substantially spoil his credit standing. It might also have an adverse impact on his ability to secure a loan in the future. For numerous college students who are facing problems in making their payments, college student loan consolidation is the most effective solution.

 College student loan consolidation is quite helpful when the rate of interest is low. Swapping a high interest rate with a reasonable interest rate implies you would be able to save money in the end. Now college student loan consolidation is available in the United States at affordable rates, which is perfect for the students.


 If you find it difficult to manage your monthly payments, then college student loan consolidation is the right choice for you. It has been tailored to stretch out the repayment term so that your payment becomes quite less than what you have been paying. In simple terms, it is beneficial for people with rigid budgets.


 Always remember, there are two forms of college student loans – private and federal. Federal loans carry reduced interest rates, offer grace periods and other advantages. Private loans are similar to any other type of loans that you obtain. Usually, it carries higher interest rates than the federal loans. While consolidating, it is essential that you perform it individually. The cause is that if you consolidate a federal student loan with a private student loan, you have to obtain one more private loan and this would wipe out all the advantages of the federal loan.

 If you have adjustable interest rates on your student loans, it is right for you to consolidate. Currently, the interest rates are quite reasonable and if you consolidate at this moment, you can save a hefty amount in the future. In addition, you need not be concerned about nonpayment when the interest rates rise. Now is the right time for college student loan consolidation.

 You would qualify for consolidating your college student loans according to the type of your loan and the amount of your loan. It is quite necessary that you shop around for locating a good consolidation program. You can make use of the Internet for convenient accessibility of thorough details that can help you make a well-informed decision.

Contributed by Debt Community Member.

Monday, August 17, 2009

A Budget for India

Few documents affect more people than India’s government budget. Some of them are investors, dismayed by Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee: his budget speech sank the Sensex index by 6 per cent. But while the budget does little to inspire, their alarm is overdone.Observers huff about a budget deficit at 6.8 per cent of gross domestic product, more than double the 2.7 per cent of the 2007-08 fiscal year.

But this is not a shock, nor much to get worked up about. The government was already in the red by 6.1 per cent of GDP in 2008-09 because of a fiscal stimulus it is now continuing. This is the right policy while global demand remains frail – and it is hardly excessive In the longer term, of course, the government must keep the deficit under control and eventually stabilise and reduce its debt. Fiscal discipline is not India’s forte.

The fiscal rules put in place in 2003 coincided with an improvement in public finances, but mostly because the boom obligingly boosted tax revenues. The government must now strengthen its commitment to reduce indebtedness and identify a plan for doing so. It need not be all that painful: as long as its growth rate stays high, India can grow its way out of debt faster than most.

Mr Mukherjee is therefore right that expanding the economy is the top priority. Growth clocked in at 6.7 per cent last year – respectable, but less than in previous years and not as impressive once population growth is taken into account.To restore and maintain fast growth, India must press on with the reforms that have advanced its economy since the 1990s.

But the Congress party is disappointing those who hoped it would capitalise on the recent landslide to divest from state-owned dinosaurs and make India more hospitable to foreign investment. Mr Mukherjee made disturbingly complimentary nods to statist policies of the past.The budget does take a stab at important obstacles to India’s economic well-being.

Increasing rural incomes and credit is a sensible way to support domestic demand and alleviate the poverty that mires much of India’s people. Improving the subcontinent’s infrastructure can boost growth. But until governance improves drastically, these policies risk the waste and abuse that mark much of Indian administration.To be fair, beyond a proposal to rationalise taxes – which should be adopted – the budget is no tool for solving the governance problem. That does not, however, relieve the government of the duty to solve it.

****

Godrej to merge consumer goods biz

The Godrej Group is on a drive to consolidate its consumer goods business to cut costs and push efficiencies across its three consumer product companies. The move will bring about synergies within the group’s flagship FMCG company, Godrej Consumer Products (GCPL) and two of its joint ventures — Godrej Sara Lee (GSL) and Godrej Hershey’s (GHL). The group is looking to consolidate on three different levels.

First, on the distribution front — all the three businesses will sell as one entity, starting this month to modern trade. “We will be selling as a single entity to modern trade, which will be Godrej from now on. This will ensure the advantage of scale and give us better margins,” GCPL managing director Dalip Sehgal said.

The group is also going to consolidate its supply chain, which will result in a common warehouse for all its consumer product companies. This will mean lesser operational costs for the group. Besides, distribution and supply chain, the company will also bring together its businesses focussed on the rural market.

“If we synergise all our businesses, we will be able to get bigger volumes in the rural market,” added Mr Sehgal.Currently, 38% of its sales come from the rural market, but the company expects that to go up to 50% in the next three years. “We are increasing our distribution reach in villages by increasing the number of stockists and sub-stockists,” said Mr Sehgal.

To rev up the FMCG business, the group had set up an FMCG cell to focus on growth and leverage from synergies across the three consumer goods companies. In another move to consolidate operations, GCPL merged two group entities — Godrej Consumer Biz and Godrej Hygiene Care — with itself. Following this, GCPL holds 49% stake in GSL.

****

Union Budget 2009-10: Mobiles, TV cos to benefit from Customs tweaks

Cheaper TVs, life saving drugs and coral baubles... that’s what the Customs duty tweak in the budget brought home. The government’s decision to lower Customs duty on LCD panels, some life saving drugs and corals will benefit domestic television manufacturers, the pharmaceutical sector and the gems & jewellery industry. But the bigger benefit came from what the finance minister chose not to do.

The government’s decision to stick to the current level of 10% peak Customs duty on non-agriculture products —though entirely expected—comes as a big relief for industry which is having a tough time fighting cheap imports and surviving the slowdown in global demand.The increase in Customs duty on gold and silver—unpopular with both makers and consumers of gold jewellery—was long overdue as duties last went up in 2005.

Gold prices have, since then, more than doubled from Rs 5,000 per 10 gm to Rs 11,000 per 10 gm. The fact that the government expects to gain Rs 800 crore from the move adds further legitimacy to it, as Customs duty collection this fiscal is expected to be substantially lower that the budgetary estimates for the year before.India has been steadily cutting peak Customs duty with the objective of bringing it down to Asean levels (4% to 5%) by 2010.

Duties, which were as high as 150% in 1991, came down to 10% in 2007-08. However, given the current demand sentiment, the government has deferred further lowering of duties.Sectors which got a reprieve due to the government’s decision to continue with the 10% peak duty include domestic appliances like vacuum cleaners, microwaves, food grinders & shavers, audio & video tapes, CD & MP3 players, ceramic products, metals like iron & steel and metallic products, among others.

All these products attract a Customs duty of 10% and will have to take a cut once the peak duty goes down further.While reduction of import duty on LCD panels from 10% to 5% will bring down prices by up to Rs 3,000 per LCD TV set, the re-imposition of 5% duty on set-top boxes might increase prices, although the long-term objective of the government is to encourage domestic value addition.

The cut in Customs duty from 10% to 5% on influenza vaccine and nine specified life-saving drugs and the bulk drugs used to manufacture them, will serve the dual purpose of making the imported versions cheaper and domestic industry more competitive by reducing input costs.

The government has also decided to continue giving full 4% CVD (counervailing duty) exemption on accessories, parts and components imported for the manufacture of mobile phones for another year. This should help keep mobile phone prices in check.To incentivise ‘green’ technology, the government has reduced basic Customs duty on permanent magnets—a critical component for wind-operated electricity generators—from 7.5% to 5%.

****

Reliance Digital to invest Rs 110-cr to set up 31 stores

Reliance Digital, the consumer durables arm of Mukesh Ambani-led Reliance Retail, plans to invest about Rs 110-crore in the current fiscal to roll-out 31 stores across India.The company, which resells Apple products through its iStore chain, will open 10 outlets by March 2010 along with 21 Reliance Digital outlets, Reliance Retail's President and Chief Executive (Consumer Durable, IT & Telecom), Ajay Baijal, told PTI here today.

Presently, Reliance Digital has a 14-strong network and 10 iStores pan-India in destinations such as Mumbai, Hyderabad, Bangalore, Chennai, Ahmedabad, Vadodara, Ludhiana and Jaipur."This year, we plan to take the total number of stores (Reliance Digital and iStore) to 55. Each Reliance Digital store requires an investmentof about Rs 4-5 crore, while an iStore takes up to Rs 40-lakh," Baijal said.

The company is currently scouting properties for its expansion plans, Baijal said.While iStores are spread over 1,000-1,500 sq ft, a Reliance Digital store is much bigger, covering 10,000-40,000 sq ft.The company today launched its tenth iStore in the metropolis and will roll out one more in Chennai next week.

****

Thursday, August 13, 2009

Banks ask RBI to ease provisioning norm that clumps together loans

Amid rising delinquencies, leading banks have asked the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to relax provisioning norms for home loans and other assets.A lesser-known accounting norm requires banks to provide for the entire exposure to a borrower if one of the loans given to her turns bad. For instance, if a customer defaults on credit card dues, the bank will have to classify not just the card outstandings, but also the home and auto loans taken by the same borrower as non-performing assets (NPAs).

This is despite the fact that the borrower may have been regular in paying EMIs for home and auto loans.Banks have now asked the RBI to delink the bad loan and good loan for the purpose of asset classification and provisioning. A higher provisioning boils down to lower income for banks.This was suggested by CEOs of large banks during a recent meeting with RBI governor D Subbarao.

The move comes at a point when banks are battling a slowdown in credit growth. With loan demand from corporates failing to take off, some large banks are giving a new push to retail loans.RBI norms stipulate that if a borrower defaults on any loan facility, all other facilities taken by this borrower should be treated as bad loans. Once a loan is classified as a bad account, the bank has to set aside 10% of the outstanding loan as a provision.

This not only hurts the bank’s bottomline, but also enlarges the ratio of bad loans — a stigma on a lender.Banks have told RBI that if a borrower fails to service a particular loan facility, all other facilities should not be classified as substandard provided the borrower makes regular payments on them. “This happens very often, when a customer has taken both a credit card loan and a home loan from the same bank.

At times, due to a dispute on credit card payments, a customer may not pay card dues for some months, but may continue to service home loan dues,” a senior banker said, on condition of anonymity.In fact, some banks also suggested that a similar relaxation be granted for loans to corporates.

In the case of corporate loans, if a borrower fails to pay the interest component on working capital, the term loan or any other facility taken by the corporate is classified as an NPA. At present, an exception is made only in the case of financial institutions, whereby provisioning is linked to the facility taken by the borrower.

Some banks also suggested that even if a home loan borrower does not make EMI payments for 90 days, they should be allowed to treat the account as a standard asset if instalments have been paid for earlier periods. At present, the RBI follows a 90-day norm, wherein an instalment not paid within 90 days from the due date has to be classified as an NPA on the 91st day.For instance, a loan instalment due on April 1, and the remaining unpaid till July 1, has to be categorised as a bad loan.

“A bank with a large retail home loan portfolio suggested to the RBI that so long as a borrower pays instalments due in, say, February and March in the April-June quarter, RBI should allow banks to classify the loan as a standard asset,” said a senior banker who was present at the meeting.

****

RBI may hike rates in early 2010: Goldman Sachs

Goldman Sachs expects the central bank to hike rates in early 2010 as economic activity picks up in the second half of 2009/10 financial year and inflation gathers pace, it said in a note on Friday.India's industrial output grew for a second successive month in May as strong domestic demand offset faltering exports, which analysts said added weight to a view the central bank would not cut rates further.

The Markit Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) showed earlier this month that manufacturing activity expanded for a third straight month in June. Goldman Sachs said the positive fiscal stimulus in the budget and expectations of an upturn in the investment cycle in second half of 2009/10 may keep domestic demand robust, despite the prospects of a poor monsoon and a weak external environment.

It also maintained its gross domestic product forecast of 5.8 per cent for 2009/10, which is still lower than the government's forecast of 7 per cent. Goldman Sachs also said it expects inflation to rise to 6.5 per cent by March 2010.The Indian rupee may appreciate against the dollar as a stable government ands domestic demand will attract foreign portfolio flows and a narrowing trade deficit turns the balance of payments positive.

The rupee may gain to 47.3 per dollar in three months, 46 per dollar in six months and 44.7 per dollar in a year, it added.At 3:57 p.m., the Indian rupee was trading at 48.91/94 per dollar from its previous close of 48.72/73.

****

Gammon India March qarter net profit at Rs 72.63 cr

Construction company Gammon India on Friday said its net profit for the quarter ended March 31, 2009 stood at Rs 72.63, while it had a net profit of Rs 21.29 crore in the same quarter ended March 2008.The financial statements include the amalgamation of the company with the erstwhile Associated Transrail Structures Ltd (ATSL). Hence, the figures for the current year and the last quarter ended March 31, 2009 are not comparable with those of the previous year, Gammon India said in a filing to the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE).

Net sales rose to Rs 1,905.84 crore for the quarter ended March 2009, against Rs 821.61 crore in same period last year.For the year ended March 31, 2009, the company has posted a net profit of Rs 140.47 crore, however it had a net profit of Rs 86.15 crore in the same period previous year.Further, the board of directors has approved to allot 1.60 crore convertible warrants to three promoters of the company on preferential basis.

The company has alloted 30 lakh convertible warrants to Pacific Energy, 65 lakh convertible warrants to First Asian Capital Resources and 65 lakh convertible warrants to Devyani Estate & Properties, the BSE filing added.The warrants are convertible for cash at a price of Rs 90.20 per share, the filing said.

****

Infosys net profit up, guidance down; faces pricing pressure

Technologies expects prices in the fiscal year to March 2010 to drop by 5% as its overseas clients battle slowing econ-omy, key officials said during its first-quarter results announce-ment on Friday. “Pricing environment continues to be challeng-ing. There are ongoing negotiations with clients,” the technology outsourcing major’s chief operating officer SD Shibulal said.

Infosys, India’s second biggest software exporter by revenues, beat street forecasts by posting a 17% jump in year-on-year net profit for the quarter to June, 2009 but economic challenges, pricing pressures and lower technology spend by major clients pushed the tech bellwether to lower its quarterly and annual revenue guidance. While the broader market remained flat, Infosys’ scrip opened lower and then zipped up by nearly 4.8% -- trading at Rs 1,749 (previous close Rs 1,676 crore) nearly at close of Friday’s ses-sion.

Net profit for quarter ending June was Rs 1,527 crore, 17% higher than Rs 1,302 crore in the same period a year ago. However, it was down 5.3% against March quarter levels of Rs 1,613 crore. The expectations were, however, tempered by a revised earnings guidance for fiscal 2010, which the firm said would range be-tween Rs 21,416 crore and Rs 21,747 crore, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 1.3% to a growth of 3%.

It reported a 2.9% sequential fall in net income to Rs 5,472 crore for the quarter ended June 2009. While net sales for the March 31, 2009 quarter was Rs 5,635 crore, sales year-on-year was higher by 12.7% on Rs 4,854 crore posted in June 2008. Says In-fosys CEO Kris Gopalakrishnan: “We believe that in the short term, the global economic environment will continue to be chal-lenging.” The firm, while adding 27 new clients this quarter, had 569 ac-tive customers this quarter, down from 579 in the previous quar-ter.

To boot, revenue contribution from one of its marque cleints, slipped to 4.5% from 5.7% in the current quarter. Shibu-lal says Infosys had 19 $50-million plus clients for the June quar-ter. He pointed out that employee utilisation rate had come down to 70.9% against 74.5% in the March end quarter.Operating profit margin improved by 50 basis points quarter-on-quarter to 34.1% in June 2009 against 33.6% in March 31, 2009. The IT major though expects FY10 operating margins to be around 31.5% and CFO V Balkrishnan sees operating margins coming down by 150 bps instead of the earlier 300 bps.

One of the reasons could be that the company’s employee strength declined by 945 during the last quarter to 1,03,905 with an attrition rate of 11.1% in the first quarter against 13.6% in the corresponding period of previous fiscal.Agrees an analyst with Kotak Securities: “The improvement in margins came in due to the reduction in number of employees quarter-on-quarter. The sequential drop in number of employees came in after several quarters and was a surprise. The company has probably aligned costs to the expected revenue outlook.

Experts like James Friedman of Susquehanna International Group (SIG) said that while Infosys is gaining new business, fur-ther compensation increases and visa costs, though selective, could create incremental operating margin pressure. “Finally, the potential lower utilisation impact resulting from additional trainees hired could aggravate operating margin pressure,” he said earlier this week.

Earnings Per Share (EPS) increased to Rs 26.66 during the Q1, up 17.2% from Rs 22.75 in the same quarter of the previous year.Revenue guidance for the September ending quarter was in the range of Rs 5318 crore-Rs 5413 crore, a year-on-year decline of between 1.9% to 0.1%. Explains Balakrishnan: “The global cur-rency market continues to be volatile and during the quarter, the rupee appreciated against the dollar. We continue to focus on margins while making the right investments to accelerate growth.”

In dollar terms, revenue guidance for the full year was between $4.45 billion and $4.52 billion, a decline ranging between -2.6% and -3.3%.Meanwhile, financial brokerage firm Stifel Nicolaus downgraded Infosys stock to ‘sell’ from ‘hold’. “Lower guidance could be driven by slower ramp up of new work, higher tax rate, higher-than-expected pricing pressure (revenue), pressure from pricing, currency, and continued hiring, and increasing conservatism on Infy's part in giving guidance/outlook,” it pointed out.

****

Wednesday, August 12, 2009

Budget silent on edible oils tax, trade upset

  1. The budget left import duty on edible oils unchanged on Monday, disappointing local industry that had been rooting for at least a small increase.

  2. "There is no news for the edible oil sector. We are little bit disappointed as nothing has been announced to promote domestic oilseeds production," said B.V.Mehta, executive director of the Solvent Extractors' Association of India.

  3. The market expected the government to impose a nominal tax on crude palm oil imports and marginally raise the levy on refined oils.

  4. India allows tax free imports of crude variants, while levies a 7.5 percent tax on refined imports.

  5. With soaring stocks of imported edible oils at Indian ports, the government was under pressure to slap duties on new cargoes.

  6. An analyst said the decision to leave the tax regime unchanged indicated the government was still assessing the monsoon's progress.

  7. India, the world biggest edible oil consumer after China, mainly buys palm oil from Indonesia and Malaysia, and small quantity of soyoil from Brazil and Argentina.

  8. "Imports of edible oil will continue to be higher in coming days as the global prices are at comfortable level," said Veeresh Hiremath, senior analyst with Karvy Comtrade. He said local prices of oils and oilseeds would decline.

****

Govt expects 497.50 bln rupees from state-run firms

  • The budget expects to generate 497.50 bln rupees from dividends and profits of state-run firms in 2009/10 and estimates food subsidy at 524.90 bln rupees during the fiscal year ending March 2010.
  • The budget also said the government would issue 103.06 bln rupees in bonds to oil firms.

****

Mahindra Satyam open offer gets poor response

Indian software services firm Tech Mahindra Ltd (TECHM.NS : 707.3 -44.8) said on Monday its open offer to the shareholders of Mahindra Satyam (SATYAM.BO : 73.9 -3.65) received less than 0.1 percent of the outstanding shares.A total of 420,915 shares were tendered in the open offer, it said in a statement. Tech Mahindra intends to subscribe for 198.66 million additional shares at 58 rupees each, it said.

The company, which is 31 percent owned by BT Group, won an auction in April for a controlling stake in fraud-tainted Satyam Computer Services, now rebranded as Mahindra Satyam.After the open offer is completed, Tech Mahindra will own 31.04 percent of Mahindra Satyam, formerly Satyam Computer Services Ltd.
****

S&P cuts Tata rating over Jaguar Land Rover worries

A leading global ratings agency on Tuesday downgraded the credit rating of India's top vehicle company Tata Motors, citing worries over its struggling British luxury car unit Jaguar Land Rover. Standard & Poor's Ratings Services said it had lowered its long-term corporate credit rating on Tata Motors Ltd to 'B' from 'B+', pushing the company's ratings deeper into "junk debt" territory.

It also gave its long-term corporate credit rating a "negative outlook," meaning a possible further downgrade for Tata Motors, which recently launched the Nano, the world's cheapest car that retails for just over 2,000 dollars. "We lowered the rating on Tata Motors to reflect the challenging operating performance at Jaguar and Land Rover for the year ended March 31, 2009, and our expectations of a similar operating performance in fiscal 2010," said Standard & Poor's credit analyst Suzanne Smith.

"This, along with a high debt level, has placed significant pressure" on Tata Motors' finances," Smith said in a statement. The downgrade came as Britain's Observer newspaper reported that Tata was close to agreeing a financial aid package with the British government for Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) after a year of difficult negotiations.

Tata Motors announced a surprise 58 percent jump in first-quarter net profit to 5.13 billion rupees (105 million dollars) last week, helped by a change in its accounting policy. But the company still has to announce consolidated financial results for the first quarter of the financial year that would include its loss-making JLR subsidiary. The negative credit rating outlook "reflects our view on the uncertainty over when JLR's operating performance will improve, given the weak global auto market conditions," Smith said.

"It also factors in Tata Motors' highly leveraged financial risk profile, given extremely high debt levels," she said. Tata bought motoring icons Jaguar and Land Rover from Ford Motor Co last year for 2.3 billion dollars. Their sales have been hit by the global downturn, which has hurt the market for luxury vehicles. The company's vice-chairman Ravi Kant said in June that Jaguar Land Rover global sales for the 10 months ending March fell by 32 percent to 167,000 vehicles from 246,000 the previous year.

****

Refined copper output of China, India triples: ICSG

The annual production of refined copper in Asian giants China and India more than tripled during 1999-2008, according to International Copper Study Group (ICSG). In its latest statistical year book, the Portugal-based intergovernmental organization covered world copper supply and demand data for the decade ending 2008. In the decade, the world copper mine production rose by 21% from 12.8 million tonnes to 15.5 million tonnes.

On a regional basis, Africa, Latin America and Asia experienced the highest rise of 89%, 35% and 29% respectively. According to the year book, the annual world refined copper production increased by 25% in the decade, with an average growth rate of 2.6%. China’s production increased by 2.6 million tonnes to 3.8 million tonnes and India by 470,000 tonnes to 675,000 tonne. While countries like Chile, Australia, Japan and South Korea also witnessed significant increase, the US experienced a declined of 41% in refined copper production.

During the period, world refined copper usage increased by 26% from 14.3 Mt to 18 Mt. Growth was largely driven by China, given that the global usage growth rate excluding China was only 0.1% during the period. China’s usage during the decade increased by around 3.7 million tonnes or 245% while that of Asia, excluding China, increased by 680,000 tonnes or 18%. Against this, usage decreased in the US by 1.2 million tonnes or 28% and in the EU-15 countries by 440,000 tonne or 11%.

The ICSG statistical year book was released at the end of July. Earlier, in the month the study group released its monthly bulletin with preliminary data for April 2009. According to the bulletin, the world refined copper market indicated a deficit of around 120,000 t for April 2009. The deficit was caused by high net Chinese imports and the consequent rise in their monthly apparent usage (which does not include unreported stocks).

For the first four months of 2009, the world copper usage declined by 2.9% compared with the same period in 2008. The pace of decline was supported by a nearly 38% rise in Chinese apparent usage against a decline of 18.5% in the remaining countries. In developed markets, the usage remained sluggish as it experienced a decline of 23%, 42% and 23% in US, Japan and EU-15 countries.

While China apparent usage surged, the actual usage as indicated by the production of semi manufactures increased only by 2% in the four months. The net imports of refined copper in the duration increased by 119% more than offsetting a 42% decline in the scrap imports compared with the first four months of 2008.

****

Sugar prices shoot to 25-year high in global market

Gear up for real pricey sugar, Rs 30/kg may soon turn history with newer, higher, highs. With global white sugar prices hitting a 25-year phenomenal high at $500/tonne and raw sugar prices following suit, the country's sugar mills may not find it uneconomical to import despite the government's easing imports with an extended deadline to end March 2010.



Unless the government, already strapped for sugar stocks to release in the open market and check prices, goes slow on this and other administrative moves to control consumer price. Crucially, the sugar industry is of the view that at the current prices in the international market, the import of raw/white sugar even at nil rate of duty becomes increasingly unviable. Ironic, since the government only recently extended the August 1 deadline for duty-free raw sugar imports.



In addition, it has also allowed duty-free imports of up to one million tonne white (or ready to eat) sugar till November 30. Significantly, the development of sugar prices shooting up to marked highs is being attributed in the global market primarily to signals that India will be importing a substantial quantity of both raws and whites. On Monday, the Liffe October white sugar surged in London to $505.9 a tonne, the highest level since the launch of the contract in July 1983.



And in New York, ICE October raw sugar rose to a three-year high above 19.3 cents a pound, fast approaching a 2006 peak of 19.73 a pound. Currently, raw sugar prices is trading at a three and half year high. But the key ICE March 2010 contract, which will be the benchmark later this year, moved to 20.44 cents. At that level, raw sugar would be at a 28-year high. World raw sugar prices rose steeply from only 11.4 cents/pound in January 2009 to 18 cents per pound in July.



Worse, traders have begun projecting raw sugar prices at an unheard of 30 cents/pound. Last week, Kushagra Bajaj, Joint MD of one of the country s biggest sugar mills, Bajaj Hindusthan, projected a high raw sugar price of 25 cents/pound, indicating that higher import prices for raw sugar could make it tougher for the industry to realise its production/processing price unless the government allowed domestic retail prices to climb up further.



Currently, retail prices rule anywhere between Rs 27-Rs 30/kg. According to industry monitors, the landed cost of imported raw sugar at the prevailing price works out to around $470 a tonne and the ex-factory cost of processed sugar from the imported raws is unlikely to be lower than Rs 26,000/tonne in the coastal States and Rs 28,000/tonne for UP, even without including financing costs. At the projected retail price of around Rs 35/kg, the ex-factory price of sugar would work out to Rs 28,000-30,000/ tonne, the only way in which the sugar industry feels it can realise its processing costs on imported raws at high prices.



As an offshoot of such high import and processing price for mills, problems could compound further on many fronts for the already sugarcane strapped industry, which has faced an increase of about 60% in raw sugar prices during the year and a similar trend in white sugar prices as well, with demand outstripping consumption significantly in the world market. In the last two years, 2006-07 to 2008-09, the sugar price realisation was uneconomical, leading to large arrears by mills in sugar cane price to farmers.



A loan of Rs 4000 crore was disbursed with a two year moratorium and repayment over four years. The industry is already carrying a huge liability and repaymetn starts from 2009-10. In the meantime, the cost of production of sugar has increased steeply in 2008-09 due to higher cane price payment, under utilisation of capacity and low recovery.



The government should urgently adopt a balanced policy to empower the sector by allowing a reasonable retail price for sugar so that the industry can realise its production price and cane price arrears to farmers are cleared on time and they have a good incentive to increase sugarcane production, an official of an UP-based sugar mill emphasized. The sugarcane area in UP is projected to shrink by almost 6%-8% to under 2.02 million hectares in the 2009-10 season.



Some 2.5 m tonnes of sugar have already been imported this year but the soaring international prices are expected to put a big spanner in the works for the plans of the industry to import substantial quantities to meet high doemstic demand. On the flip side, the government has already made unprecedented sugar releases into the open market this year, ensuring that there is nil carryover stocks into the 2009-10 season, thus increasing pressure for big imports.



But it could still be a Hobson s choice for the government on allowing sugar retail prices to shoot up further. This, despite the political sensitivity over keeping prices down, especially in the festival period starting in early September right through to the end of the year. Sugar has a 3.6% weightage int he WPI and has contributed noticeably to higher inflation rates, but the government is working on rationalising the weightage downward. In a bid to keep domestic sugar prices down, the governmetn also extended sugar stockholding and turnover limits upto the end of the year and banned futures trade, apart form easing imports, both under OGL and the AL scheme.



****

Universal ID: Going beyond smart cards & databases

The June 2009 announcement of the appointment of Nandan Nilekani, cofounder of Infosys, as the head of UIDAI (Universal ID Authority of India) has created a lot of excitement.What is missed out in the initial reactions is the larger issue involved. The government must be congratulated in correctly terming the office as “Universal ID Authority of India”. The terms “universal ID” “identification” and “authority” are very pertinent.

In recent years, many government departments have independently started issuing IDs to citizens of India, primarily to suit their interaction with the citizens. The home ministry through passport to track their travel in and out of the country. The income-tax department through PAN (permanent account number) to track income and expenses for the purpose of taxation. The Election Commission through their voter identity card.

There are also ration cards, BPL card for poor families, driving licence and gas connection certificateCommon among all these experiments is the “limited purpose” of the intended use; no sharing of information among the agencies of the government. The UIDAI goes beyond “identity cards” to the very “identity” itself. It is important to evolve“architecture” of an identification system than the identity itself.
  1. Being “universal” in nature it is best to have a system that can accommodate citizens, permanent residents and visitors, though the system might focus on citizens first.
  2. It must be prospective in the sense that on the day when the system comes into force there is an enabling mechanism to put the system into action; in that sense it may be better to design a system that might start functioning 20 or 25 years from now, but with the guarantee that the eco-system to support such a system will be in place, rather than rushing through with one system or another.
  3. It must have system to take care of normal accidents — users losing an identity proof, users changing their status — location, job, marital status, getting children, acquiring property, occupying special position such as member of the parliament, prime minister of the country, and even special cases — facing disability, liquidation, criminal proceedings, change of name or sex.
  4. There must be a system of incorporating changes and re-issuance of identity proof that is easy, affordable and hassle-free , and yet making it rather difficult for end users with malicious purposes to do “identity theft”.
  5. The identity system must have natural start and end points; for example, an identity system may start at the time of birth and accordingly it must be captured along with the birth of the child anywhere in the country; alternately, the identity proof issuance may happen at a specific age or at a specific stage — for example at the age of 18 — on acquiring the right to vote.
  6. There must be a system that “links up” the identity, say of two individuals at the time of marriage, children’s identity getting linked to parents with a provision that such linkages may have to be re-established during special circumstances (divorce, adoption in case of children).

Finally, the system must form the foundation for many identity proofs — passport, PAN, driving licence, voter identity card — and be able to keep the linkages intact and secure (ability to link all identity proofs, for example, all passports issued, all linked passports (spouse, children, parents), drivers licences issued at different places , voter identities issued.

Ultimately, the identity system must address all possible end uses of identity proof, for example, access to social benefits — pension, social security, subsidies, if any, and, insurance; right to vote, right to drive, right to drink, right to acquire property, right to job, help government to track — taxes, travel out of country, movements in case of bail, and, help citizens in getting services — bank account, BPL card, senior citizens benefits, healthcare, education.

****

SBI, Tata Motors, Sahara figure in top 100 tax defaulters list

Country's largest state-owned bank SBI, automobile giant Tata Motors and oil major Indian Oil Corporation, besides Sahara India and its Globe's biggest M&A dealmakers promoter Subroto Roy figure in the list of top 100 tax defaulters in the country.

Disclosing the list of defaulters in the Rajya Sabha today, the Minister of State for Finance S S Palanimanickam said in a written reply that top 100 tax defaulters owe to the exchequer whopping Rs 1.41 lakh crore -- more than three times the amount the government spends on NREGA scheme annually to provide employment to BPL families.

The Centre is taking various steps to recover the outstanding dues, the minister said, adding that the government has requested the adjudicating authorities like ITAT and Settlement Commission "to dispose of high demand cases expeditiously."

As per the list, disgraced stud farm owner Hassan Ali Khan tops the list of tax defaulters with an outstanding arrear of more than Rs 50,000 crore.The list of tax defaulters also includes stock broker late Harshad Mehta and his associates and other brokers like A D Narrotam and Hiten Dalal.

While the SBI owes Rs 333.6 crore in taxes, Tata Motors and Indian Oil Corporation have to pay Rs 206.5 crore and Rs 210.3 crore to the treasury. As regards Sahara, many of its group companies figure in the list of defaulters, while its promoter Roy owes Rs 230 crore to the exchequer.

****

AIG taps former MetLife chief as CEO

Troubled insurer American International Group Inc has chosen former MetLife chief Robert Benmosche as its new CEO, The Wall Street Journal reported, citing people familiar with the matter. The AIG board approved the choice Monday morning, the newspaper said on its website. An AIG spokesman was not immediately available to comment. Benmosche would succeed Edward Liddy as AIG chief executive.

Liddy joined the company as chairman and CEO last September, within hours of the company getting billions of dollars in support from the U.S. government after nearly collapsing under losses on repackaged mortgages it had guaranteed. In May, Liddy said he planned to step down once replacements were found to fill the CEO and chairman roles. AIG shares were down 13 cents, or 1 percent, to $13.01 in late-morning trade on the New York Stock Exchange.

****

Thursday, August 6, 2009

Suzlon shares fall 4 pc on poor earnings

Shares of wind turbine maker Suzlon Energy today fell by over four per cent on the Bombay Stock Exchange after the company reported a loss of Rs 452 crore for the first quarter of 2009-10. The scrip closed at Rs 95.65 on BSE, down by 4.11 per cent over the previous close. It had plunged by 9.02 per cent to an intra-day low of Rs 90.75.
On the National Stock Exchange, the stock closed lower by 4.16 per cent at Rs 95.65. The company has reported a net loss of Rs 452.67 crore for the first quarter ended June 30 due to lower sales volumes. On the volume front, over 6.21 crore shares exchanged hands on NSE and 2.1 crore shares were traded on BSE. The BSE 30-share Sensex closed at 15,924.23 points, up 253.92 points over the previous close.
****

NHPC IPO to hit market on August 7

Central government enterprise, National Hydroelectric Power Corporation (NHPC) will raise Rs 6,000 crore from the Initial Public Offer (IPO), which will hit the market on August 7. "Rs 4,000 crore will be used to finance the under construction projects of the company while Rs 2,000 will be given to the government of India," NHPC Director (project) JK Sharma told reporters here.

For its IPO, NHPC has fixed the price band between Rs 30-36 per equity share. On the ongoing projects, Sharma said that 11 projects of 4,622 MW capacity are currently under construction at various stages. "The company is awaiting government's nod for five more projects with a capacity of 4,565 MW and certain joint venture projects having capacity of 2,166 MW," he said.

"Our current installed capacity is 5,175 MW and by 2013 end, our total installed capacity will be 10,000 MW," Sharma said, adding, most of the under construction projects are going to be commissioned on schedule.

****

Nifty likely to head to 4880 this week:Finquest

Finquest Securities expects Nifty to head towards 4880 levels this week.
“For the week, Nifty appears to be positive and seems likely to head towards 4880 levels. As Nifty attempts to breach the prior high at 4693, we could witness bouts of profit booking. For the day, Nifty appears to be positive and is likely to edge higher towards 4720 levels,” said the technical report.

Merits of Mutual Funds and ULIPs

“Its success lies in the fact that it is an insurance plan and not an investment or a welfare plan,” said James Franklin Roosevelt Sorry Mr Roosevelt, but insurers here would beg to differ. Thanks to an array of ‘insurance cum investment products’, the idea of a complete insurance product for investors seems to have diluted. Yes, you have guessed it right. We are talking about Unit Linked Insurance Plans (ULIPs), which are currently the most popular of all insurance schemes available in the market. But why, as someone would rightly point out, is an ULIP being discussed in an Investor’s Guide edition purely dedicated to the Mutual Funds (MFs)?

ULIPs and MFs, have locked horns against each other for quite some time now. The recent debate roots from scrapping of the entry load from the MF schemes, closely followed by Insurance Regulatory & Development Authority (IRDA) capping the ULIP charges. But why, after all, are MFs and ULIPs, up against each other? The answer, though simple is highly complex to deal with. And the answer lies in the manner in which the ULIPs are sold.

Investors here are perceived to believe that they are buying an insurance plan with a built-in add-on feature of mutual fund investments. Thus prima facie this product seems an attractive ‘buy one get one free’ offer. But this perception goes for a toss when the investor realises that the element of insurance is just miniscule. And this revelation pops only after the scheme is bought. Most ULIPs available in the market today offer an insurance cover in the range of 5 -10 times the amount of annual premium.
Thus, for an investor paying a premium of Rs 20,000 per annum, the embedded value of insurance is simply a lakh to two lakh rupees. In a stark contrast, a traditional pure term insurance plan can fetch an insurance cover of about Rs 50 lakh with the same amount of premium. Moreover, unlike a traditional endowment or money-back policy, ULIP does not pay back the amount of sum assured if the holder survives through the policy term.

The amount receivable on maturity is purely the fund value whose growth is directly linked to the markets. There is thus a very thin line of distinction between an MF and a ULIP as far as the structure and investment strategies are concerned. Another concern surrounding the ULIP is the fact that if at the time of maturity of the policy, the markets are sailing in troubled waters, investors have no option but to accept the returns as determined by the market then.

Unlike an MF, they do not have an option to hold on to their investment until the markets recover. Thus, though MFs and ULIPs are said to be similar, the similarity is restricted to the product structure and investment strategies. The point where this similarity ends, the dissimilarities begin. The starting point of this dissimilarity is the extent of charges levied by both these products.

An ULIP is normally loaded with a number of charges ranging from premium allocation charge to fund management fees to policy administration charge, mortality charge, top-up premium charge, switchover charges and so on. Of these, the premium allocation charge, which usually varies from about 10% to 100%, is the prime source of income for insurance distributors and is highly criticized for robbing the investor of his invest-able surplus.

On the other hand, the prime source of revenue in case of an MF is the fund management charge, which is currently capped at 2.5% per annum. There is also a small percentage of penal charge, ranging from 0.5% - 1% called as exit loads, levied in case of premature withdrawals. Premature withdrawals here generally refer to withdrawals within one year from the date of investment.

The net amount invested is thus much higher in case of an MF vis-à-vis a ULIP. However, having said that, it would be wrong to conclude that ULIP is a bad product and that a MF scores over an ULIP at all times. ULIPs are known to be tax-friendly since both the investments and the returns are fully exempt from tax. Moreover, ULIPs offer flexibility to switch between the equity and the debt investments, which are currently absent in case of an MF. This switchover, though, attracts some cost.
But then ULIP is beaten by an MF when it comes to liquidity, as an early exit from an ULIP is nothing less than suicidal. To prove this thesis, ETIG analysed two investment options – one in a ULIP and the other in an MF to analyse the returns from these two competing products over a period of time. And the results are interesting indeed. Under both the options we have assumed the age of the investor to be 30 years and annual amount of investment is Rs 20,000 for 20 years.

Under the first investment option, we have assumed a ULIP scheme with a 100% exposure to equity markets. Assuming the risk cover to be five times the first premium installment, the sum assured is Rs 1 lakh. As far as charges are concerned, we have assumed a Premium allocation charge (PAC) of 20% for the first two years and 10% for the third year. Thereafter, PAC is uniform at 2% p.a. throughout the policy term.

Policy administration charge is fixed at Rs 60 per month throughout the policy term while mortality charge is based on the age of the policyholder and the amount of risk cover. The same thus increases with the age of the policy holder during the policy term. Another charge factored in is the fund management fee, which is 1.5% p.a. and gets deducted from the fund value on a regular basis. Thus, in the first three years of the policy, almost 25% of annual premium is deducted towards these different charges.

Under the second investment option, the premium paid towards a pure term insurance plan of Rs 1 lakh is mere Rs 417 per annum while investment in equity mutual fund will attract an annual fund management charge of about 2.5% of the fund value. (While we have assumed a pure term cover of Rs 1 lakh, investors would do well to note that a pure term plan with such small cover is currently not available in the market. We have assumed the same to make investments under both the options comparable).
****