
Monday, August 31, 2009
Bonds belong in your portfolio

Oil near $71 as stocks sink, recovery questioned
US stock futures lower after sell-off in Asia
NEW YORK — Stocks moved toward a lower opening Monday following a big drop in Asian markets. U.S. stock futures fell after China's main index plunged 6.7 percent, adding to a nearly 3 percent drop on Friday. The selloffs in Chinese shares have been fueled by growing concerns over a tightening in bank lending and have weighed on markets around the globe this month.
Japan's Nikkei stock average fell 0.4 percent after the country's opposition party came to power in a landslide victory. European markets are also lower. Investors are heading in to the last day of August cautiously. There are no major economic reports scheduled for Monday, but key readings come later this week on manufacturing and employment in August that have the ability to either sustain or upset the market's massive six-month rally.
After rising more than 45 percent from 12-year lows in March, the Dow Jones industrial average stands less than 500 points away from 10,000. Investors have grown increasingly worried that the market may have gotten too far ahead of the economy and without evidence of actual economic growth, analysts have warned that the market's rally could fizzle in the coming weeks, especially as traders head into September, historically a rough month for the stock market.
Ahead of the market's open, Dow Jones industrial average futures fell 61, or 0.6 percent, to 9,475. Standard & Poor's 500 index futures fell 5.90, or 0.6 percent, to 1,021.50, while Nasdaq 100 index futures fell 11.50, or 0.7 percent, to 1,631. In corporate news, oilfield services company Baker Hughes Inc. said it will buy BJ Services Co. in a cash-and-stock deal valued at $5.5 billion. Oil prices lost $1.68 to $71.06 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Bond prices rose.
The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, fell to 3.42 percent from 3.45 percent late Friday. The dollar was higher against other major currencies, while gold prices fell. In late morning trading, Germany's DAX index and France's CAC-40 were down about 0.7 percent. The London Stock Exchange was closed for a public holiday.
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Power Breakfast: Stocks peaking, Home Depot, lottery, Japan
After a hot summer, is the stock market rally over?
Unfortunately, that’s exactly what some are now predicting. Some of the analysts and investors who called a bottom in March, when the markets hit their worst levels in more than a decade, now say they are detecting a peak in share prices, the New York Times reported. And they warn that stocks could be headed for a sharp pullback.
What’s more, the Times writes, September is traditionally a poor month for stocks.
But the article does go on to point out that analysts can be wrong. Many of the country’s smartest investors got clobbered during the downturn last year, the Times writes. And betting against Wall Street’s momentum has not been a smart move lately.
So, what to do?
It’s not easy. But generally the best advice for long-term investors is to diversify, develop a thoughtful game plan and stick with it. Trying to time the market is a risky and often futile endeavor. Studies have repeatedly shown that most stock market gains during a year happen in a fairly concentrated period of time. I’m not good enough to predict those 10 or 20 days out of 365.
Sensex down 156 pts; Realty stocks post smart gains
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- India's Gross Domestic Product grew 6.1% in the first quarter of this fiscal as compared to 7.8% during the same period last year. In the final quarter of the previous year, GDP rose 5.8%. While the industrial sector saw a growth of 5% as against 6% in the previous corresponding period, mining growth was at 7.9%, versus 4.6% in the same quarter last year.
The Sensex, which had plunged to 15,696.66 in early trade this morning, is down with a loss of 155.99 points 0.98% at 15,764.66. The Nifty has posted a loss of 47.10 points or 1% at 4685.25. Information technology stocks are among the major losers this morning. Mirroring their fall, the BSE IT index has lost over 2%. The Teck index is down by around 1.5%. Metal, capital goods, FMCG, pharma and bank stocks are also seen struggling to make a headway today.
Sterlite Industries, Tata Consultancy Services, Infosys Technologies, Larsen & Toubro, Hindalco, Wipro, HCL Technologies , Reliance Industries and Maruti Suzuki are down by 1.5% - 3%. GAIL India Tata Communications, SAIL, BHEL, ITC, Reliance Communications, Jindal Steel, Suzlon Energy, Reliance Infrastructure and Bharti Airtel have also declined sharply. Realty stocks have rallied sharply. With key stocks from this space recording impressive gains, the BSE Realty index has advanced by 2.17% now.
Select PSU, power and oil stocks have also posted notable gains. The market breadth is positive thanks to fairly strong buying at several counters in midcap and smallcap segments. Out of 2420 stocks seen in action on BSE, 1416 stocks are up in the positive territory. 933 stocks have declined and 71 stocks trade flat. Realty stock DLF is up by 2.15% at Rs 422.10.
Unitech, a Nifty component, has gained 4.85% at Rs 104. Ackruti City and Parsvnath Developers have also moved up by over 4%. Orbit Corporation, Ansal Infrastructure, Sobha Developers, Phoenix Mills, HDIL, Omaxe and Mahindra Lifespace have also gained significant ground in the positive territory this morning. Godrej Industries, IRB Infrastructure, Thermax, Jet Airways, Cairn India, MphasiS, Tech Mahindra, Jain Irrigation Systems, Alstom Projects, Sintex Industries, Aban Offshore, Aditya Birla Nuvo, Balrampur Chini and Mangalore Refineries & Petrochemicals are among the other stocks that have gained in strength today.
Stocks open lower; Metals, IT fall
Allied Digital board okays fund raising plans; stock up 1.35%
MUMBAI: Shares of Allied Digital Services picked up momentum after the company’s board approved raising up to $50 million from institutional investors. The company will issue 100,000 shares to Bennett Coleman & Co Ltd and split each of the company's shares into two, it said in a statement to the stock exchange. At 10:30 am, the stock rose 1.34 per cent to Rs 507.45 on the BSE.
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Retailers reduce stocks to escape hoarding charges

Yen Strengthens, Japanese Stocks Drop After DPJ Wins Election
Sensex regains some lost ground after sharp setback @ 10:21 hrs
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As stocks cutting across sectors tumbled in opening trade, the Sensex swiftly plunged to 15,696.62, recording a loss of over 225 points in the process. Though the barometer is off that mark now thanks to selective buying at some front line counters, at 15,781.88, it is still down in the red with a sharp loss of 140.46 points or 0.88%.
The Nifty index of the National Stock Exchange, which had drifted down to 4662, is down with a loss of 41.35 points or 0.87% at 4691 at present. Information technology, metal, realty and capital goods stocks are among the prominent losers. FMCG, bank, auto and power stocks are also trading lower. Select pharma, oil and PSU stocks have bucked the trend and posted notable gains. Sterlite Industries, the most prominent loser in the Sensex now, is down by around 2.3%.
Tata Consultancy Services and Larsen & Toubro have also lost more than 2%. Wipro, Infosys Technologies, Hindalco, Jaiprakash Associates, ITC, Reliance Infrastructure, Tata Motors, Tata Steel, Maruti Suzuki, ICICI Bank, BHEL, Hindustan Unilever and Reliance Communications are down by 1%- 2%. State Bank of India, HDFC and index heavyweight Reliance Industries are also trading weak. HCL Technologies, GAIL India, SAIL, Tata Communications, Axis Bank and Nalco are among the major losers in the Nifty index.
ONGC, Grasim Industries, Hero Honda and NTPC have posted sharp to moderate gains. ACC is up marginally over its previous closing price. Nifty stock Cairn India has moved up by over 4.25% to Rs 271.20. Siemens is up by 2.1%. BPCL has gained 1.2% at Rs 499.25.
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Sunday, August 30, 2009
UPA-II effect: FIIs infuse Rs 23,000 cr in stock market in 100 days

NEW DELHI: Call it the effect of the Congress-led UPA government or a hope of a revival for the Indian stock markets, the country has witnessed 100 days of UPA an inflow of nearly Rs 23,700 crore from overseas investors since the new term of Prime Minister Manmohan Singh. An analysis of the foreign institutional investors (FIIs) activity shows that since May 22, the day Prime Minister took oath for a second term to lead the United Progressive Alliance government, FIIs have made a net investment of Rs 23,688.8 crore in the domestic stock markets.
On August 29, the UPA government completed its 100 days in office with a mixed bag of good work on certain fronts while stumbling on several issues. The inflow during the period (May 22-August 29) accounts for over 65 per cent of the total FII inflow into the Indian stock markets. According to the data available with market regulator Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI), so far in 2009 FIIs have made a net investment of Rs 39,179.60 crore. During the period under review, July witnessed an inflow of Rs 11,066 crore, the highest in a month. In June the inflow was Rs 3,830 crore, while in August it is Rs 3,810 crore.
Also Read
→ What's pushing the markets up?
→ Some significant sectors for equity investors
→ September sonnet for stocks: A sliding Sensex?
→ Indian ADRs gain over $2.60 bn, Infosys contributes most "FIIs have confidence in the India growth story and have invested at a cheaper level. Now that markets have moved up more participation would be seen as the foreign funds would like to be left out for participating in the rally," SMC Global Vice President Rajesh Jain said.
During the same period, Bombay Stock Exchange's benchmark index Sensex gained 15 per cent to 15,922.34 level. On May 22, Sensex had ended at 13,887.15. The government's 100-day programme reflected the Prime Minister's words who made it clear to his Cabinet colleagues that 'business as usual will not do'.
The Union Budget 2009-10, presented by Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee sought to double the outlays for rural development at a time of sluggish growth, which is expected to be 6 per cent this year. The government has also come out with a new Direct Taxes Code, which promises to simplify direct tax laws and promises to put more money in the pocket of the tax payer. It also came out with a Trade Policy with an ambitious target of USD 200 billion exports for 2010-11.
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IT stocks slide in range-bound market
(With AP inputs)
MP plans to impose stock limit on pulses soon
Friday, August 28, 2009
(All figures are provisional)
Thursday, August 27, 2009
Control sugar prices, Sonia tells Pawar

A few years back, a dramatic rise in the price of onions nearly brought down the government. Now, as sugar prices spiral out of control, Congress president Sonia Gandhi has stepped in. Sonia has written a letter to Union Minister for Agriculture Sharad Pawar, asking him to take immediate measures to control prices.
Why sugar is unaffordable this year?
In times of drought, Rs 350 cr for a statue

Two-thirds of Maharashtra is in the grip of a terrible drought, farmers are committing suicide, but that is not stopping the Maharashtra government from erecting a mammoth statue of Shivaji - the maratha warrior king - in the sea off Marine Drive. The statue will cost 350 crores of rupees, enough to save lakhs of farmers in this drought year. It's an election promise of 2004 that the government is now in tearing a hurry to fulfill.
This high tech avatar will be taller than the statue of Liberty and will have a museum, revolving restaurant and helipads. "The statue of Shivaji will be a great landmark for the city. It will be in the Arabian sea halfway between Chowpatty and Marine Drive. The platform will span 8 acres. And it will be taller than the Statue of Liberty. People can travel to it from nearby jetties," said Ashok Chavan, Chief Minister.
Over the last few weeks, the Maharashtra government has allotted a few hundred crores for scarcity relief, but it plans to ask the Centre for a few thousand crores. So, should it be spending more than 300 crores on a statue even if it's over the next few years? The Shiv Sena sees the Congress-NCP trying to usurp the icon it had appropriated. But given the subject of debate its criticism is muted.
"We are not against a statue to Shivaji Maharaj. We are only against the politicisation and just using the name of Shivaji Maharaj," said Sanjay Raut, Shiv Sena leader. The government's much hyped decision may still hit a road block, as it's still to get environmental clearance. So, this could be yet another election stunt but will it get it the votes?
US regulator eases rules for private buys of failed banks
TCS, Infy, Wipro bag chunk of BP deal
Gas dispute: Government's plea claims supremacy

The Centre will file a fresh application in the Supreme Court on the gas dispute between Mukesh Ambani's RIL and Anil Ambani's RNRL. The plea is ready and waiting for approval of Union Law Minister Veerappa Moily. The application to be filed by Petroleum Ministry says that the government has an authority in private agreement in regulation of gas supply; also the government has control over fixing gas price, its quantity and period of supply.
In the earlier petition, the government wanted the MoU between RIL and RNRL be declared null and void. On the question of intervention by NTPC, the Centre in its application says it will wait for the final decision of the Bombay High Court on NTPC's petition against RIL for enforcement of contract.
Wednesday, August 26, 2009
Soaring prices: Sugar gets bitter in Kerala

Women are used to making tea or coffee with less sugar, but are now forced to even make a household budget that has less sugar. Here's a report from Kerala where the price of sugar has touched almost Rs 40, which is more than a 100 per cent increase. Ironically it comes just ahead of the biggest festival of the state, Onam.
Trade policy targets $200 billion in export revenues
How Foreign Trade Policy will help boost exports

How To Go For College Student Loan Consolidation
College student loan consolidation is quite helpful when the rate of interest is low. Swapping a high interest rate with a reasonable interest rate implies you would be able to save money in the end. Now college student loan consolidation is available in the United States at affordable rates, which is perfect for the students.
If you find it difficult to manage your monthly payments, then college student loan consolidation is the right choice for you. It has been tailored to stretch out the repayment term so that your payment becomes quite less than what you have been paying. In simple terms, it is beneficial for people with rigid budgets.
Always remember, there are two forms of college student loans – private and federal. Federal loans carry reduced interest rates, offer grace periods and other advantages. Private loans are similar to any other type of loans that you obtain. Usually, it carries higher interest rates than the federal loans. While consolidating, it is essential that you perform it individually. The cause is that if you consolidate a federal student loan with a private student loan, you have to obtain one more private loan and this would wipe out all the advantages of the federal loan.
If you have adjustable interest rates on your student loans, it is right for you to consolidate. Currently, the interest rates are quite reasonable and if you consolidate at this moment, you can save a hefty amount in the future. In addition, you need not be concerned about nonpayment when the interest rates rise. Now is the right time for college student loan consolidation.
You would qualify for consolidating your college student loans according to the type of your loan and the amount of your loan. It is quite necessary that you shop around for locating a good consolidation program. You can make use of the Internet for convenient accessibility of thorough details that can help you make a well-informed decision.
Contributed by Debt Community Member.
Monday, August 17, 2009
A Budget for India
Godrej to merge consumer goods biz
Union Budget 2009-10: Mobiles, TV cos to benefit from Customs tweaks
Reliance Digital to invest Rs 110-cr to set up 31 stores
Reliance Digital, the consumer durables arm of Mukesh Ambani-led Reliance Retail, plans to invest about Rs 110-crore in the current fiscal to roll-out 31 stores across India.The company, which resells Apple products through its iStore chain, will open 10 outlets by March 2010 along with 21 Reliance Digital outlets, Reliance Retail's President and Chief Executive (Consumer Durable, IT & Telecom), Ajay Baijal, told PTI here today.
Presently, Reliance Digital has a 14-strong network and 10 iStores pan-India in destinations such as Mumbai, Hyderabad, Bangalore, Chennai, Ahmedabad, Vadodara, Ludhiana and Jaipur."This year, we plan to take the total number of stores (Reliance Digital and iStore) to 55. Each Reliance Digital store requires an investmentof about Rs 4-5 crore, while an iStore takes up to Rs 40-lakh," Baijal said.
The company is currently scouting properties for its expansion plans, Baijal said.While iStores are spread over 1,000-1,500 sq ft, a Reliance Digital store is much bigger, covering 10,000-40,000 sq ft.The company today launched its tenth iStore in the metropolis and will roll out one more in Chennai next week.
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Thursday, August 13, 2009
Banks ask RBI to ease provisioning norm that clumps together loans
RBI may hike rates in early 2010: Goldman Sachs
Gammon India March qarter net profit at Rs 72.63 cr
Infosys net profit up, guidance down; faces pricing pressure
Wednesday, August 12, 2009
Budget silent on edible oils tax, trade upset
- The budget left import duty on edible oils unchanged on Monday, disappointing local industry that had been rooting for at least a small increase.
- "There is no news for the edible oil sector. We are little bit disappointed as nothing has been announced to promote domestic oilseeds production," said B.V.Mehta, executive director of the Solvent Extractors' Association of India.
- The market expected the government to impose a nominal tax on crude palm oil imports and marginally raise the levy on refined oils.
- India allows tax free imports of crude variants, while levies a 7.5 percent tax on refined imports.
- With soaring stocks of imported edible oils at Indian ports, the government was under pressure to slap duties on new cargoes.
- An analyst said the decision to leave the tax regime unchanged indicated the government was still assessing the monsoon's progress.
- India, the world biggest edible oil consumer after China, mainly buys palm oil from Indonesia and Malaysia, and small quantity of soyoil from Brazil and Argentina.
- "Imports of edible oil will continue to be higher in coming days as the global prices are at comfortable level," said Veeresh Hiremath, senior analyst with Karvy Comtrade. He said local prices of oils and oilseeds would decline.
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Govt expects 497.50 bln rupees from state-run firms
- The budget expects to generate 497.50 bln rupees from dividends and profits of state-run firms in 2009/10 and estimates food subsidy at 524.90 bln rupees during the fiscal year ending March 2010.
- The budget also said the government would issue 103.06 bln rupees in bonds to oil firms.
Mahindra Satyam open offer gets poor response
S&P cuts Tata rating over Jaguar Land Rover worries
Refined copper output of China, India triples: ICSG
Sugar prices shoot to 25-year high in global market
Universal ID: Going beyond smart cards & databases
- Being “universal” in nature it is best to have a system that can accommodate citizens, permanent residents and visitors, though the system might focus on citizens first.
- It must be prospective in the sense that on the day when the system comes into force there is an enabling mechanism to put the system into action; in that sense it may be better to design a system that might start functioning 20 or 25 years from now, but with the guarantee that the eco-system to support such a system will be in place, rather than rushing through with one system or another.
- It must have system to take care of normal accidents — users losing an identity proof, users changing their status — location, job, marital status, getting children, acquiring property, occupying special position such as member of the parliament, prime minister of the country, and even special cases — facing disability, liquidation, criminal proceedings, change of name or sex.
- There must be a system of incorporating changes and re-issuance of identity proof that is easy, affordable and hassle-free , and yet making it rather difficult for end users with malicious purposes to do “identity theft”.
- The identity system must have natural start and end points; for example, an identity system may start at the time of birth and accordingly it must be captured along with the birth of the child anywhere in the country; alternately, the identity proof issuance may happen at a specific age or at a specific stage — for example at the age of 18 — on acquiring the right to vote.
- There must be a system that “links up” the identity, say of two individuals at the time of marriage, children’s identity getting linked to parents with a provision that such linkages may have to be re-established during special circumstances (divorce, adoption in case of children).
Finally, the system must form the foundation for many identity proofs — passport, PAN, driving licence, voter identity card — and be able to keep the linkages intact and secure (ability to link all identity proofs, for example, all passports issued, all linked passports (spouse, children, parents), drivers licences issued at different places , voter identities issued.
Ultimately, the identity system must address all possible end uses of identity proof, for example, access to social benefits — pension, social security, subsidies, if any, and, insurance; right to vote, right to drive, right to drink, right to acquire property, right to job, help government to track — taxes, travel out of country, movements in case of bail, and, help citizens in getting services — bank account, BPL card, senior citizens benefits, healthcare, education.
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